BEGIN:VCALENDAR VERSION:2.0 PRODID:-//swoogo.com//NONSGML kigkonsult.se iCalcreator 2.41.90// CALSCALE:GREGORIAN UID:63623430-3232-4163-a662-633064323464 BEGIN:VEVENT UID:3efdc7632766631c4357623e056294265fd502f8@swoogo.com DTSTAMP:20261012T094118Z DESCRIPTION:Is luck real or merely perception? Regardless\, the sense of lu ck influences decision-making. Serendipity\, i.e.\, mediated luck\, is cle ar in hindsight\, but can it be cultivated through foresight training? How do concepts of luck and serendipity evolve through learning foresight? We present empirical findings from a hybrid approach combining scenario plan ning and wargaming\, mediated by large language models\, to explore these questions.\nThis talk also examines why the origins of new technologies ar e difficult to predict\, arguing that this stems from an underdeveloped ph ilosophy of science and practice in a field often mischaracterized as pure ly practice-led. We propose a philosophy centered on creating knowledge th rough forward conjecture—uniting scholarly inquiry\, foresight\, and techn ology development within a single framework that emphasizes anticipation a s a foundation for innovation and discovery. DTSTART:20251105T091500Z DTEND:20251105T094500Z LAST-MODIFIED:20261012T094118Z LOCATION: SEQUENCE:0 STATUS:CONFIRMED SUMMARY:Foresight\, Technology\, and Wargames TRANSP:OPAQUE X-ALT-DESC;FMTTYPE=text/html:

Is luck real or merely perception? Regardle ss\, the sense of luck influences decision-making. Serendipity\, i.e.\, me diated luck\, is clear in hindsight\, but can it be cultivated through for esight training? How do concepts of luck and serendipity evolve through le arning foresight? We present empirical findings from a hybrid approach com bining scenario planning and wargaming\, mediated by large language models \, to explore these questions.
\nThis talk also examines why the orig ins of new technologies are difficult to predict\, arguing that this stems from an underdeveloped philosophy of science and practice in a field ofte n mischaracterized as purely practice-led. We propose a philosophy centere d on creating knowledge through forward conjecture—uniting scholarly inqui ry\, foresight\, and technology development within a single framework that emphasizes anticipation as a foundation for innovation and discovery.

BEGIN:VALARM UID:63363534-3234-4630-b962-393331373365 ACTION:DISPLAY DESCRIPTION:Is luck real or merely perception? Regardless\, the sense of lu ck influences decision-making. Serendipity\, i.e.\, mediated luck\, is cle ar in hindsight\, but can it be cultivated through foresight training? How do concepts of luck and serendipity evolve through learning foresight? We present empirical findings from a hybrid approach combining scenario plan ning and wargaming\, mediated by large language models\, to explore these questions.\nThis talk also examines why the origins of new technologies ar e difficult to predict\, arguing that this stems from an underdeveloped ph ilosophy of science and practice in a field often mischaracterized as pure ly practice-led. We propose a philosophy centered on creating knowledge th rough forward conjecture—uniting scholarly inquiry\, foresight\, and techn ology development within a single framework that emphasizes anticipation a s a foundation for innovation and discovery. TRIGGER:-PT15M END:VALARM END:VEVENT END:VCALENDAR